Understanding the aditya birla fashion share price is key for investors, analysts, and market watchers interested in India’s retail and fashion sector. This article gives you a deep, up-to-date overview of the share’s performance, key financial metrics, historical trends, influences, risks, and what future scenarios could look like. Whether you are already invested or planning to, this guide will help you make an informed call.
Current Snapshot & Key Metrics
As of 1 October 2025, the aditya birla fashion share price closed at ₹ 86.39 on the Indian stock exchanges. moneycontrol.com Below is a breakdown of the key data related to this share:
| Metric | Value / Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Latest Price | ₹ 86.39 | Closing price on 01 Oct 2025 moneycontrol.com |
| Day’s Range | ₹ 83.92 – ₹ 87.20 | Intraday trading band moneycontrol.com |
| 52-Week Range | ₹ 70.55 – ₹ 357.90 | Wide volatility in the past year moneycontrol.com+2The Economic Times+2 |
| Market Capitalization | ~ ₹ 10,542 Crores | Based on shares and price moneycontrol.com |
| Book Value Per Share | ₹ 34.84 | Indicates net asset per share moneycontrol.com |
| P/B Ratio | ~2.48 (low P/B) | Reflects valuation relative to book value moneycontrol.com |
| P/E Ratio / EPS (TTM) | Negative / –3.82 | The company is loss-making at present moneycontrol.com+1 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | No dividend currently distributed moneycontrol.com+1 |
Market Behavior
-
On TradingView, the aditya birla fashion share price is shown at ₹ 77.77 in some quotes (though official sources like Moneycontrol show ₹ 86.39) TradingView+1
-
There’s a discrepancy in different real-time feeds, so always double-check reliable Indian stock portals.
-
Over the past year, the share has seen dramatic swings, particularly because of structural changes within the company and the demerger of key business verticals.
Company Overview & Business Context
To understand the aditya birla fashion share price, one must examine the business behind it.
Who is Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail?
-
Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd (ABFRL) is an Indian fashion and lifestyle retail company, headquartered in Mumbai. Wikipedia+2icicidirect.com+2
-
It was formed in 2015 through consolidation of Aditya Birla Nuvo’s Madura Fashion division and Pantaloons Fashion & Retail. Wikipedia+1
-
Key brands under its umbrella have included Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, Peter England, Pantaloons, and partnerships with international fashion brands. Wikipedia+2icicidirect.com+2
-
The company also has interests in designer labels, ethnic wear (like Jaypore, Tasva), and has taken stakes in prominent Indian designer brands like Sabyasachi, Shantanu & Nikhil, Tarun Tahiliani. Wikipedia+2icicidirect.com+2
Structural Change: Demerger of Lifestyle Business
One major factor affecting aditya birla fashion share price is the demerger of its Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (which includes many of its lifestyle brands). screener.in+3Reuters+3The Times of India+3
-
Madura’s portfolio was contributing a substantial share of revenue. The spin-off aimed to give ABFRL more focus on premium, fashion, and retail verticals. screener.in+3Reuters+3Wikipedia+3
-
On the record date for the demerger, shares of ABFRL plunged nearly 67 %, reflecting the market adjusting to removal of a large business unit. The Times of India
-
This structural shift is central to understanding the fluctuations in aditya birla fashion share price.
Recent Strategic Moves & Stake Sales
-
Flipkart (an investor) exited its stake in ABFRL via bulk deals, which had a negative impact on share price. screener.in+3The Economic Times+3icicidirect.com+3
-
The company has also pursued fundraising, increasing capital for expansion in premium segments. Yahoo Finance+2icicidirect.com+2
-
In its Q1 FY26 performance, while revenues have grown (e.g. Pantaloons doing well), losses still persist in net profit terms. icicidirect.com
Historical Trends & Price Behavior
To see how aditya birla fashion share price behaves over time:
-
Historical data on Investing.com shows daily opens, closes, highs, and lows to help track volatility trends. Investing.com
-
The 52-week high was about ₹ 357.90, and the low was ₹ 70.55 – indicating drastic swings within a year. moneycontrol.com+2The Economic Times+2
-
After the demerger and structural changes, the share price has come down significantly. Groww+4The Times of India+4screener.in+4
-
The volatility reflects both business risk and investor sentiment sensitivity to corporate actions.
Key Drivers Behind the aditya birla fashion share price
To assess future movement, here are the primary factors influencing it:
-
Business Focus & Execution
After the demerger, ABFRL must execute well in its core fashion/retail segments. If it fails to deliver growth in premium, designer, or ethnic wear, the share price likely will struggle. -
Investor Sentiment & Promoter Moves
Sales by large shareholders (e.g. Flipkart) or changes in promoter shareholding heavily influence market confidence. screener.in+3The Economic Times+3icicidirect.com+3 -
Earnings & Profitability
Currently, the aditya birla fashion share price reflects negative earnings (losses). Only sustained profitability can push valuation multiples upward. -
Valuation Multiples
With a negative P/E, valuations hinge more on P/B, growth potential, and turnaround narrative. -
Retail & Fashion Sector Trends
Demand cycles, consumer sentiment, inflation, input costs (fabrics, labor, logistics), and competition all matter. -
Regulatory / Structural Moves
Any new demergers, brand sales, or strategic partnerships might trigger re-rating or re-valuation events.
Scenarios & Forecasts: What’s Next for aditya birla fashion share price
Below are possible scenarios and corresponding share price implications:
| Scenario | Key Triggers | Possible Price Range / Movement | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base / Neutral | steady recovery, moderate growth in core verticals | ₹ 80 – ₹ 120 | Gradual re-rating if company shows consistent profits |
| Bullish / Optimistic | strong brand performance, expansion, new premium partnerships, profitability return | ₹ 120 – ₹ 180+ | Revaluation by markets, tilt to premium valuation multiples |
| Bearish / Downside | continued losses, weak execution, further shareholder exits | ₹ 50 – ₹ 80 | Market may penalize further, P/B contraction |
| Volatility / Swing | sudden announcements (mergers, sales, policy) | ±20-30 % swings intraday or in short term | Structural events often cause abrupt jumps or drops |
Some analysts have projected a 12-month target range between ₹ 59 to ₹ 131 for aditya birla fashion share price (as per some market forecasts) TradingView
Risk Factors to Watch
-
Execution risk: turning around premium & designer brand verticals is challenging.
-
Debt & cash flow: funding losses and debt service can strain operations.
-
Brand cannibalization or dilution: too many sub-brands could confuse consumers.
-
Shareholder exits: big sales by institutional investors may lead to panic.
-
Macroeconomic headwinds: inflation, supply chain disruptions, consumer demand drops.
Because the aditya birla fashion share price is already under pressure, the margin for error is smaller.
Advanced Variation: Valuation Approaches & Comparative Cases
Variation 1: DCF / Intrinsic Valuation Sensitivity
Try a discounted cash flow (DCF) model with multiple scenarios:
-
Base case: moderate revenue growth (5–7 % annually), operating margin improvement, discount rate of 12 %
-
Upside case: aggressive growth in designer & ethnic wear, margin expansion, discount rate of 10 %
-
Downside case: slow recovery, continued losses, discount rate 14–15 %
Each scenario gives a different intrinsic estimate of aditya birla fashion share price. If intrinsic > market price, suggests potential upside.
Variation 2: Peer / Sector Multiple Comparison
Compare ABFRL with listed peers in Indian fashion / retail (e.g. Trent, Shoppers Stop, V-Mart):
-
Use P/B, EV/EBITDA, P/Sales multiples
-
See how aditya birla fashion share price stands relative to multiples of peers
-
This helps gauge if it’s undervalued or overvalued given the business size and growth potential
Variation 3: Break-up / Sum-of-Parts Valuation
After demerger, ABFRL’s valuation can be seen via the sum of:
-
Fashion & retail operations (Pantaloons, designer/ethnic brands)
-
Brand licensing / partnerships
-
Real estate / store assets
-
Adjusting for liabilities
This may give a clearer picture than a single multiple.
How Investors Should Approach aditya birla fashion share price
-
Set a watch range: Given volatility, consider setting buy zones and stop losses rather than entering at market price.
-
Focus on earnings catalysts: Don’t just follow price—watch quarterly earnings, margins, brand performance, partnerships.
-
Monitor promoter and institutional moves: Any bulk sale or share buyback could move the aditya birla fashion share price significantly.
-
Use phased entry: Instead of investing all at once, stagger entry in tranches.
-
Track sector trends: Fashion and retail are cyclical; sector sentiment often drags or lifts individual names.
Conclusion
The aditya birla fashion share price is not just a number—it reflects a company undergoing structural changes, investor sentiment shifts, and business challenges. While it currently trades at ₹ 86.39 with negative earnings and high volatility, the potential for re-rating is tied to its ability to stabilize operations in its core fashion and retail verticals, deliver profitability, and regain investor confidence.
Comments
Post a Comment